piclist 2008\08\07\133910a >
Thread: :: The sun is going out
face BY : Chris Smolinski email (remove spam text)

>NASA plot of sunspot activity.
>Updated monthly.
>         http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/index.html
>I've been saving these each month for some months now and
>it's been interesting to see the activity continue to drop
>towards zero while the predictions gamely urge it to
>splutter into life.
>Maunder minimum in the wings, or just a hiccup. Stay tuned,
>could be interesting.

Some are suggesting a double minimum, as has occurred before. IMHO
it's tough to predict how the Sun should behave, we only have two
dozen solar cycles worth of data to work with - a few centuries out
of the 5 billion year age of the Sun.

NASA/etc have been very public in saying that the Sun is acting
normally, everything is fine, nothing to see here folks, move along.
Most likely to calm fears that we are headed into a Maunder or Dalton
minimum.  I also would not be surprised if  some of it is to counter
statements that the reduced solar activity is coinciding with a drop
in global temperatures, which might lead some to suspect that man
made global warming is not all it is claimed to be, which could have
a negative impact on government climate research funding ;-)

FWIW, a 2006 forecast from a new solar model is doing pretty well right now:


Chris Smolinski
Black Cat Systems
<p06020403c4c0e1b9de1b@[]> 7bit

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Subject (change) :: The sun is going out

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