> Russell-
>
> Thanks for posting this. I was beginning to think that I was the only one
> who had considered these points and things along these lines.
>
> I personally feel that there should be 100% passive speeding detection
> checkpoints every few hundred feet, everywhere. A mailbox with 200
> tickets after a trip to visit the family would certainly apply the
> brakes to
> those who feel no obligation to obey posted speed limits, and at much
> less cost than the corpse of a child.
>
> Basically, I have weighed the options and decided not to risk it.
>
> And now an anecdote...I live in Iowa, Central US, and a prominent
> politician in a neighboring state recently struck and killed a motorcyclist
> because he was speeding and ran a stop sign.
>
> The man fell apart. I never saw him that he wasn't weeping. He
> resigned from Congress and is currently serving his penance (I don't
> think he got any jail time). His life is ruined, and I think it's less
> than
> he deserves.
>
> There are numerous records of him saying "If I'm willing to pay the
> fine, why shouldn't I speed?" The man he killed wasn't willing to
> pay, nor was his family, but they paying they are.
>
> Look, the long and the short of it is this: kinetic energy increases
> as the square of velocity. IF you wreck, or hit someone, or
> whatever, the difference between 25 whatevers/h and 26
> whatevers/h is the difference in scaling KE by 625 or 676.
>
> Let's not even get started on the mass element and what that
> shiny new Hummer H2 is going to do to my little car...
>
> Mike H.
>
>> I feel a moralistic rave coming on.
>> But not one without good engineering foundation.
>> Fasten your seatbelts, set your cruise controls, we're off ....
>>
>> After just having suggested offlist to one poster that he may be treading
>> on
>> politically shaky ground (not that I care, it's not my stooge he was
>> talking
>> about :-) ) , I'll
>> turn to a so far unproscribed area and add my 2 cents worth :-)
>>
>> I often hear people waxing lyrical over the inequity of speed cameras,
>> red
>> light cameras, traffic radar and traffic police in general. I do wonder
>> what
>> such people (and there is of course a range of opinions) would feel
>> genuinely comfortable and happy with? No traffic rules? No speed
>> limits*? -
>> or perhaps limits but no enforcement. Maybe limits with very wide
>> enforcement margins. (50 mph with 30 mph margin = typically 90 mph in
>> town).
>> I also wonder what they would do that they don't do now to protect their
>> children under such utopian arrangements.
>>
>> I note that there seems to be a correlation between speed capacity of
>> vehicle and probability of radar detectors being fitted. I am aware, of
>> course, that radar detectors are fitted by responsible drivers to improve
>> the safety of their driving (I just haven't worked out how that works
>> yet).
>> I note that a more recent safety improvement is the fitting of GPS and
>> waypoint memory to radar detectors so that the driving may be even safer
>> again - and I also so far have not been able to muster the intellect
>> required to understand the no doubt simple mechanism by which this works.
>>
>> Social contract (whatever that may mean in this age) says that we give
>> ourselves certain rights to kill a certain percentage of ourselves in
>> exchange for the rights to expect a certain level of protection from
>> ourselves. It's not as if there is some external authority who we are
>> trying
>> to beat. We are dealing with ourselves. The whole basis for the
>> engineering
>> of our environment stands on the social contract we have set
>> ourselves. How
>> clean the air, how fast the cars, how good or how often the safety
>> checks,
>> how polluted the food or how uncertain we are of what we are ingesting is
>> set
>> by ourselves. (We know that Mon$anto and their ilk will try and bend the
>> rules at every turn in some of these areas, but lets stick to road safety
>> in
>> this diatribe.)
>>
>> If we all, or a clear majority, feel that the limits we have set are too
>> restrictive, then we have the right and ability (in most countries at
>> least)
>> to stand up
>> and say so and do something about it. If we think that more children
>> should
>> die on city streets so that we can get home sooner, or if we think that
>> changing our driving behaviour won't change how many children die, or
>> if we
>> think that enforcement mechanisms are inefficient or wrongly targeted,
>> then we have the right and the ability to do something about it. If we
>> think
>> we'd rather have arguably safe nuclear power and leave the problems to
>> our
>> children's children in place of unquestionably
>> unsafe coal power which gives us problems now then we have a right to do
>> something about it.
>>
>> If instead we simply do what we wish, or attempt to, or wish to then
>> we are
>> stealing, attempting to steal or wishing to steal the benefit of the
>> agreed
>> social contract from ourselves - or from the portion of ourselves who
>> don't.
>> If we ALL do this then it's just money in the government's coffers, and
>> SOMEBODY has to fund us, so who cares. (Less government-ers, tax is
>> theft-ers, enclave isolationists and others** may stand up and be
>> counted
>> here :-) ). And of course, more dead children all round, but if we all do
>> it
>> then we have just modified the social contract and we're all happy.
>>
>> The major problem is, that the child struck by the car which
>> would have been able to stop if it had been travelling at
>> agreed-social-contract mph, or the person broadsided by the "why
>> shouldn't
>> I run late orange was-that-REALLY-red-officer? lights if I want to"
>> free-thinker is usually not the person who has bought into the social
>> contract initially. Each year the US kills more of its citizens in road
>> "accidents" than died in the whole Vietnam war, over 10 time as many as
>> died
>> in "911" and far far more than will die in Afghanistan & Iraq, no matter
>> how
>> many more
>> that may yet be. (43,000 auto fatalities USA 2003, almost 3,000,000
>> injuries.)
>> (NHTSA early assessment for 2003 - interesting)
>> ( www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/pdf/nrd-30/NCSA/PPT/2003EARelease.pdf
>> )
>>
>> But, my constitutional rights, it's only done to fill government coffers,
>> everyone does it, radar
>> detectors for safety,... & more mean that's not liable to reduce
>> appreciably
>> anytime soon.
>>
>> For a little perspective, the US death rate per car is less than for
>> France
>> and half as much as Portugal's. For a bit more perspective, the death
>> rate
>> per capita (a more real measure) is worse than for France but not
>> quite as
>> bad as Portugal or Greece. I suppose one could be proud of having a
>> better
>> death record than Greece. Or Portugal. (Have you ever seen spectators
>> at a
>> Portugese rally ? :-) !!!! ).
>> US fatalities per capita which are 2.5 times a high as UK suggests (only
>> suggests) that the
>> unreasonably strict tolerances on speeds on their motorways and their
>> obnoxious bobbies MAY just be doing something. So the USAites can laugh,
>> NZ's record is slightly WORSE per capita than the USA's.
>> _______________
>>
>> Few people (even engineers) seem to appreciate how much more damage a car
>> travelling only "slightly" faster will typically do to a pedestrian.
>>
>> Fatality rate (McMahon empirical formula) is approx
>>
>> % killed = V^2/5000% V in kph or
>> % killed = V^2/1800% V in mph.
>>
>> Above 100% death is essentially certain.
>> eg at 50 kph %death = 50^2/5000 = 50%
>> at 70 kph =~ 100%
>>
>> A car travelling at 70 kph will kill about 50% of the ball chasing
>> children
>> that the same car travelling at 50 kph just manages to stop for.
>>
>> A car travelling at 60 kph will kill over 20% of the ball chasing
>> children
>> that the same car travelling at 50 kph just manages to stop for.
>>
>> What may not be intuitively obvious without having thought about it (even
>> to
>> engineers) but which is obvious on reflection, is that if two identical
>> vehicles, which have a speed difference of V mph, start braking together,
>> then
>> when the slower one stops, the faster one will be still travelling at
>> MORE
>> than V mph. Possibly much more. This is because the energy in the vehicle
>> accumulates with the square of the speed and the extra speed adds
>> substantially more than linear energy. As an example, two cars travelling
>> at
>> 70 & 50 kph start braking together. Assume that the brakes can remove
>> energy
>> at a constant rate. In practice brake fade etc may make this assumption
>> invalid - which leads to a worse result. Car A at 50 kph has 50^2 = 2500
>> units of energy. Car B at 70 kph has 70^2 = 4900 units of energy. When
>> car
>> A
>> has just stopped car B has (4900-2500) = 2400 units of energy left so is
>> travelling at sqrt(2400) = 48+ kph (!!!!). ie A 70 kph car will hit at
>> about
>> 50 kph an object that a 50 kph car can just stop for !!!!. Reaction time
>> makes this worse as during reaction time car B travels further so has
>> less
>> distance to brake in.
>>
>> As covered in more detail below -
>>
>> Car A CANNOT kill the child which it just fails to hit.
>> Car B will kill the child about 50% of the time.
>>
>> There are some assumptions that vary the end result eg reaction time,
>> whether the car can decelerate at constant g or at constant energy
>> reduction
>> rate or .... . Whatever the assumptions - if a 50 kph car JUST stops a 70
>> kph car will hit at around 50 kph - maybe more.
>> (Constant energy reduction should be a reasonable assumption. Unless you
>> are
>> at maximum coefficient of friction point then brakes should be working as
>> hard as they can which should be a constant rate until they begin to
>> fade.
>> At brake locking point the best that can be achieved is about 1g (depends
>> on
>> car) so that could also be used as a best case assumption).
>>
>> At 50 kph impact you kill 50^2/5000 = 50%
>> Hey - that's not so bad. 50% odd live!
>> But every dead child is one outside social contract. If you ever kill one
>> in
>> such circumstances you should feel (as you are) responsible for the
>> rest of
>> your life. There are, of course, ways to feel better about this.
>> Should have looked first, parents didn' bring them up to take care, they
>> KNOW people drive fast through here, they shouldn't have been allowed to
>> play with a ball on such a busy street, my car had superb performance and
>> excellent brakes and my reaction times are so swish hot that an ordinary
>> car/driver would have killed them anyway,... .
>>
>> The social contract, as currently implemented, assumes that all
>> drivers and
>> vehicles are equal. It gives good drivers and good vehicles a chance to
>> improve the safety of others. I would not like to bet that "good" drivers
>> with "good" cars only equal out the equation when they decide to make
>> themselves as dangerous as the average car/driver. The velocity^2 energy
>> rule brings the BMW into normal territory faster than most would realise.
>> (if YOU dispute this - do YOU believe the analysis above that says
>> that 50%
>> of people that YOU would have just missed will die if YOU are doing 70
>> rather than 50?.)(If not, explain why).
>>
>> Have I ever hit a person while driving a motor vehicle? Yes and no - I'd
>> laid the motorcycle on the road by the time I hit the running child -
>> and I
>> wasn't speeding. And they weren't severely hurt. Still doesn't feel very
>> nice (for them or me :-) ).
>> Do I sometimes exceed posted speed limits? yes. Run the occasional red
>> light? - er,
>> yes. Make excuses for why I do it? No. It's indefensible.
>> Is it safe enough? - often, yes. Aren't there occasions when the posted
>> limits don't make sense? - yes, BUT when they don't make sense and
>> then an
>> "accident" happens, it's no accident. But of course there are lots of
>> explanations.
>> How was I to know that there would be a kid there at that time in a
>> weekend?! - this place is ALWAYS deserted in weekends !!!
>> Who would have thought that anyone would have been coming through that
>> intersection at that time of night?
>> Hey! - I drive a BMW/Mustang/Lamborghini/Unimog :-) / Have been
>> driving for
>> 60 years/have a clean
>> record / am a Mason (where'd that come from) ...
>>
>> Dead. My little girl is dead!? What happened???
>> Rerun above excuses.
>>
>> And I wonder how many who feel utterly frustrated by tightly controlled
>> speed limits (like our British brethren seem to) have worked out how much
>> difference it actually makes to trip time to travel at say 100 kph versus
>> 120 kph. Or around town at 50 vs 60 or 70.
>>
>> In Arizona I'm told that people cruise at 100 mph plus. Didn't see
>> any. May
>> have been due to the spotter aircraft signs ?
>>
>> But, I did like the autobahns * :-)
>>
>>
>> Russell McMahon
>> (who really hopes he won't now go & do something stupid in a
>> car
>> and kill anyone in the next while)
>>
>>
>> _______________________________
>>
>> For a NZ article that explains that increased speed does NOT result in
>> more
>> deaths, see
>>
>> www.investigatemagazine.com/july00speed.htm
>> :-)
>>
>> ______________
>>
>> * In Germany on the autobahns there are indeed no speed limits. And it
>> all
>> looked and felt very safe. When we were there last year, cruising at
>> 130 -
>> 140 kph (80-90 mph) we had people passing us at 100+ kph deltas (!).
>> Sit in
>> the outside lane more than a few seconds too long at 130 kph and you have
>> a Mercedes glued on your rear bumper until you pull into the "slow" lane.
>> While there are no speed limits, there are definitely rules AND everyone
>> seems to abide by them. The roads are built to suit. When they do have
>> accidents, and of course they do, the probably have less problems with
>> getting people to hospital than we do here. Elsewhere in Germany there
>> are
>> very strictly controlled speed limits - some quite conservative. Heavy
>> vehicles have their limits for each class of road displayed
>> prominently on
>> the back so authorities can see at a glance whether they are doing as
>> they
>> are intended to.
>>
>> ** I thought about saying "... other whingers ..." there, but I'll
>> leave it
>> to the footnote readers to decide if that was wise :-) .
>>
>> *** Congratulations if you got this far :-)
>>
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